Toledo at Central Michigan: A Statistical Preview
Preview of Toledo vs Central Michigan college football game. Analysis of team stats, key matchups, and what to watch.
Toledo at Central Michigan: A Statistical Preview
Game Overview
The Toledo Rockets travel to Mount Pleasant to face the Central Michigan Chippewas in a crucial Mid-American Conference (MAC) matchup on November 29th, 2025. This game marks another chapter in a long-standing rivalry, with 51 previous meetings between Toledo and Central Michigan. The Toledo Rockets hold a significant historical advantage, boasting 30 wins compared to Central Michigan's 18. This contest is vital for both teams as they navigate the conference schedule. The game is scheduled to be played at Kelly/Shorts Stadium.
Key Statistical Matchup
The offensive production of both teams presents a compelling statistical contrast. The Toledo Rockets are averaging 32.55 points per game, significantly outscoring Central Michigan, who average 25.73 points per game. This scoring disparity suggests a potentially high-scoring affair if Toledo maintains their offensive efficiency.
Looking deeper into the offensive statistics, Toledo's total yards per game are 411.09, exceeding Central Michigan's 328.00 yards per game. This difference is driven by a stronger passing attack for the Rockets, averaging 234.27 passing yards per game, compared to Central Michigan's 149.27. However, both teams show a relatively similar rushing game. Central Michigan averages 178.73 rushing yards per game, while Toledo averages 176.82. This suggests that the game could hinge on which team can effectively establish their passing game and limit the others rushing yards.
What to Watch For
The performance of Toledo's passing game will be a key factor. If the Rockets can consistently connect through the air, they are poised to generate significant yardage and points against Central Michigan's defense. Conversely, Central Michigan must find a way to contain Toledo's passing attack and establish a more balanced offensive approach to stay competitive.
The rushing game will also be critical. Both teams demonstrate a solid running game, meaning the team that can establish dominance on the ground and control the clock will have an advantage. The Central Michigan defense will need to contain Toledo's rushing attack to force the Rockets into more passing situations.
Game Outlook
Based on current season statistics and historical data, the Toledo Rockets appear to have a statistical edge over Central Michigan. Toledo's higher scoring average and superior passing game indicate a strong chance of success. However, Central Michigan's home-field advantage and a capable rushing attack could keep the game competitive. Toledo will likely look to lean on their passing game while Central Michigan will need to find ways to exploit the run.