Ball State at Toledo: A Statistical Preview
Preview of Ball State vs Toledo college football game. Analysis of team stats, key matchups, and what to watch.
Ball State at Toledo: A Statistical Preview
Game Overview
The Ball State Cardinals travel to the Glass Bowl to take on the Toledo Rockets in a crucial Mid-American Conference matchup on November 22, 2025. This game represents a significant contest for both Ball State and Toledo, with potential implications for conference standings. This marks another chapter in a long-standing rivalry, with 49 previous meetings between the Ball State Cardinals and the Toledo Rockets. The Toledo Rockets hold the historical advantage with 27 wins compared to Ball State’s 21 victories.
Key Statistical Matchup
The statistical disparity between the Ball State Cardinals and the Toledo Rockets is striking. Toledo’s offense currently averages 32.0 points per game, showcasing a significantly more potent attack than Ball State, which scores only 15.7 points per game. This difference in scoring output stems from a considerable difference in offensive production. Toledo averages 422.5 total yards per game, driven by a balanced attack of 247.1 passing yards and 175.4 rushing yards per game. In contrast, the Ball State Cardinals struggle to generate consistent offense, averaging just 265.5 total yards per game. Ball State’s passing game averages 125.6 yards per game, while their rushing attack contributes 139.9 yards per game. This statistical comparison highlights Toledo's offensive prowess and suggests that Ball State will need to significantly elevate its performance to compete.
The disparity in offensive efficiency will be a key factor. Toledo's ability to move the ball through both the air and on the ground makes them a difficult team to defend. Ball State, on the other hand, will need to establish its running game and limit turnovers to control the clock and keep the Toledo offense off the field.
What to Watch For
The performance of Toledo's passing game, led by their quarterback, will be critical. If Toledo can consistently connect on passing plays, it will open up opportunities for the running game. Ball State's defense must find a way to contain Toledo's dual-threat capability. Conversely, Ball State's offense needs to find a way to sustain drives and put points on the board. The success of the Ball State Cardinals’ running game will be essential to controlling the tempo of the game and keeping the Toledo offense at bay. Turnovers and penalties will also be pivotal. The team that commits fewer mistakes will likely have a significant advantage in this conference battle.
Game Outlook
Based on the current season statistics, Toledo is the clear favorite. The Rockets’ superior offensive output, particularly in scoring and total yards, gives them a significant edge. If Toledo continues to perform at its current level, it is likely they will secure a victory against the Ball State Cardinals. Ball State will need a near-perfect game to overcome the statistical disadvantage.