Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State: A Statistical Preview

Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State: A Statistical Preview

Game Overview

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons travel to face the Mississippi State Bulldogs in a non-conference matchup on January 3rd, 2026. This is only the second time these two programs have met on the gridiron, with Mississippi State holding a 1-0 advantage in their historical series. Both teams will be looking to start the new year strong with a victory. The game promises an intriguing battle between two programs with distinct offensive philosophies, making for a compelling statistical analysis.

Key Statistical Matchup

The primary statistical battleground for this game lies in the offensive production. Mississippi State currently averages 30.5 points per game, significantly higher than Wake Forest's 26.83 points per game. The Bulldogs' offense, averaging 393.25 total yards per game, is also more productive than the Demon Deacons' 364.08 yards per game.

A closer look reveals that Mississippi State leans slightly more towards the passing game, averaging 231.92 passing yards per game, compared to Wake Forest's 212.75. However, the rushing attacks are relatively balanced. Mississippi State runs for 161.33 yards per game, while Wake Forest averages 151.33 rushing yards per game. The Demon Deacons' ability to contain the Bulldogs' offense and limit their scoring opportunities will be crucial. Conversely, Mississippi State's defense will need to focus on containing Wake Forest's ground game to maintain their scoring advantage.

What to Watch For

Several key factors will influence the outcome of this contest. Mississippi State's ability to maintain its offensive efficiency will be critical. If the Bulldogs can consistently move the chains and score touchdowns, they will put pressure on Wake Forest. Conversely, Wake Forest must establish its rushing attack to control the clock and keep the Mississippi State offense off the field.

Special teams also warrant close observation. Field position battles and any potential turnovers in the kicking game could significantly impact the game's momentum. Turnovers, in general, will be a crucial factor. Whichever team can protect the ball and force turnovers will likely have a significant advantage. The performance of both teams' defenses in the red zone will also be pivotal.

Game Outlook

Based on the statistical data, Mississippi State appears to have a slight edge heading into this matchup. Their higher scoring average and overall offensive production suggest they are the more potent offensive team. However, Wake Forest's offense is capable of putting up points, and their defense will look to disrupt Mississippi State's rhythm. The game is likely to be a close contest, with the team that best executes its game plan and minimizes mistakes having the upper hand.