Rice at Texas State: Pre-Game Analysis

Rice at Texas State: Pre-Game Analysis

Game Overview

The Rice Owls travel to take on the Texas State Bobcats in a non-conference matchup on January 2, 2026. This game represents the sixth meeting between the two programs, with Texas State holding a slight edge in the all-time series with three wins to Rice’s two. Both teams will be looking to start the new year strong, and this game presents a valuable opportunity to assess their respective strengths and weaknesses before conference play. The game is scheduled for 6:00 PM UTC.

Key Statistical Matchup

The statistical disparity between the Texas State Bobcats and the Rice Owls is significant, particularly in scoring. Texas State averages an impressive 36.08 points per game, significantly higher than Rice's 19.83 points per game. This offensive firepower for Texas State is fueled by a balanced attack, averaging 437.33 total yards per game. The Bobcats are effective both through the air and on the ground, with 228.67 passing yards and 208.67 rushing yards per game.

Rice, on the other hand, struggles offensively. Their total yards per game average 304.50, driven largely by their rushing attack, which averages 211.67 yards per game. However, the Owls’ passing game is a major area of concern, averaging only 92.83 passing yards per game. This lack of a passing threat puts significant pressure on the running game and makes Rice's offense more predictable. The Texas State defense will aim to exploit this weakness.

What to Watch For

The performance of the Texas State Bobcats’ defense against the Rice Owls’ rushing attack will be critical. If Texas State can contain Rice’s ground game, they will force the Owls to rely on their passing game, which, based on current statistics, could be a recipe for turnovers and offensive struggles. The ability of the Texas State offense to maintain its high scoring output will also be crucial. Quarterback play for Texas State will be important. If the Bobcats can continue to execute their passing game effectively, they will stretch the Rice defense and open up running lanes. Furthermore, Rice must find a way to generate more offense through the air to become a more balanced offensive threat.

Game Outlook

Based on the statistical analysis, Texas State is heavily favored in this matchup. Their superior scoring offense and balanced attack, combined with Rice's struggles in the passing game, suggest that Texas State will likely control the game. The Bobcats’ ability to limit Rice’s rushing attack will be key to securing a victory.